[https://edition.cnn.com/2020/08/07/us/allan-lichtman-trump-biden-2020-trnd/index.html](https://edition.cnn.com/2020/08/07/us/allan-lichtman-trump-biden-2020-trnd/index.html)
History professor Allan Lichtman is used to being right.
He has correctly predicted the winner of each presidential race since Ronald Reagan's reelection victory in 1984 using his "13 keys" system. (It's worth mentioning that in 2000, Lichtman predicted that Al Gore would win the election. Although Gore won the popular vote, he ultimately lost the presidency to George W. Bush after the Supreme Court ruled to stop the recount for Florida's electoral votes. Lichtman stands by validity of his prediction.)

History professor who has accurately predicted every election since 1984 says Trump will lose
By Allison Gordon
Updated 1548 GMT (2348 HKT) August 8, 2020

Hear 2020 prediction from professor who has accurately called elections since 1984 06:21
(CNN)History professor Allan Lichtman is used to being right.
He has correctly predicted the winner of each presidential race since Ronald Reagan's reelection victory in 1984 using his "13 keys" system. (It's worth mentioning that in 2000, Lichtman predicted that Al Gore would win the election. Although Gore won the popular vote, he ultimately lost the presidency to George W. Bush after the Supreme Court ruled to stop the recount for Florida's electoral votes. Lichtman stands by validity of his prediction.)

Professor predicted Trump win, says he will be impeached
Now, Lichtman and his "13 keys" are ready to call 2020.
In an interview with CNN, Lichtman was definitive in his answer: "The keys predict that Donald Trump will lose the White House this year."
Lichtman bases his prediction on a model of "13 keys" that can be answered as either true or false for any given election. The "13 keys" in his system include factors such as the economy, incumbency, social unrest and scandals, as well as the candidates' personal charisma.
"The secret is keeping your eye on the big picture of incumbent strength and performance. And don't pay any attention to the polls, the pundits, the day-to-day ups and downs of the campaign. And that's what the keys gauge. The big picture," Lichtman explained.
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