The payout estimate is intentionally biased towards 0 so that if there is a “surprise” it is much more likely to be a favorable rather than an unfavorable one. Scores only register positive if a good deal past the predicted cutoff. All cut scores are predicted as the ENTIRE blockchain has to run to get a final answer (everything gets reweighed). Worry less about the small details and focus more on: finding quality content, staking on the BEST content, contributing high-quality commentary, and growing your REP. These will serve you far better in the long run.